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open lake forecast for lake ontario
national weather service buffalo ny
1002 pm est fri jan 16 2026

for waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on lake ontario

waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

.synopsis...a 29.5 inch low will track from near lake superior 
tonight to southwestern quebec by saturday afternoon while weakening 
to 29.7 inches, then will continue to push east across southern 
quebec saturday night. a 29.6 inch low will then move from near lake 
superior sunday night to central quebec by later monday night, while 
pushing an arctic cold front across the lake monday afternoon. a 
30.5 inch high will then slide east across the southeastern states 
tuesday and tuesday night, with a 29.8 inch low then making its way 
across the central great lakes wednesday.


loz063>065-171000-
lake ontario open waters from hamlin beach to the saint lawrence
river-
1002 pm est fri jan 16 2026

.rest of tonight...south winds 15 to 20 knots. a chance of snow
showers late this evening. a chance of snow showers late. waves
2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. 
.saturday...south winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. a
chance of snow showers through early afternoon, then a chance of
rain and snow showers late. waves 3 to 5 feet. 
.saturday night...west winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest to
30 knots. a chance of snow showers. waves 4 to 7 feet building to
6 to 10 feet. waves occasionally around 13 feet. 
.sunday...southwest winds 15 to 25 knots. a chance of snow
showers. waves 5 to 9 feet subsiding to 4 to 7 feet. waves
occasionally around 11 feet. 
.sunday night...southwest winds 15 to 25 knots increasing to
30 knots. a chance of snow showers in the evening, then snow
showers likely overnight. waves 4 to 7 feet building to 5 to
8 feet. waves occasionally around 10 feet. 
.monday...southwest gales to 35 knots becoming west to 40 knots.
heavy freezing spray. lake effect snow showers likely during the
day, then lake effect snow monday night. waves 10 to 13 feet
building to 15 to 20 feet. waves occasionally around 26 feet. 
.tuesday...west gales to 35 knots becoming southwest and
diminishing to 30 knots. heavy freezing spray. lake effect snow
showers likely. waves 13 to 17 feet subsiding to 10 to 15 feet.
waves occasionally around 22 feet. 
.wednesday...southwest winds 15 to 25 knots. snow showers likely.
waves 6 to 9 feet subsiding to 5 to 8 feet. waves occasionally
around 11 feet. 

$$
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