Posted: Sun Oct 31, 2021 11:09 am Post subject: Baja forecast season has started!
Hi Gang,
We have started the human Baja forecasts. The forecast covers the entire Sea of Cortez side of Baja as well as most of the Pacific side of Baja Norte and Baja Sur.
However the main focus of the forecast continues to be the Los Barriles to La Ventana to El Sargento to Rasta Beach zone.
We are clearly in a La Niña pattern with the average storm track further north. Often this means that the high-pressure in the Great Basin to 4 corners region which is critical for strong Baja winds are often displaced a bit too north. So there may be fewer and weaker El Norte wind events.
Still, La Niña events are very variable so we should still see periods of solid wind.
I post the forecasts around 9 AM MST each day. I tend to hold posting the forecasts until the pattern becomes clear so at times the forecast will be late. There are no super resolution model forecasts for the La Ventana and Los Barriles area so forecast accuracy is not ideal. Despite this we have gotten lots of great feedback about the Baja forecasts.
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