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Why cant anyone predict east wind strength at Stevenson?
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combs



Joined: 01 Apr 1997
Posts: 117

PostPosted: Tue Sep 07, 2021 7:07 pm    Post subject: Why cant anyone predict east wind strength at Stevenson? Reply with quote

Wow what a major bust to the forecast today at Stevenson! Would like to get some input from the iwindsurf guru's (windfind?) as to why this seems to continually happen. Even Temira (though on vacation this week) struggles with this topic. Is the east wind at Stevenson so localized that models don't pick it up? Wassup??

Not trying to complain (much), as a local I had the river to myself for most of the afternoon. Just damn glad I didn't schedule something else, based on the very inaccurate forecast. Even the mid day update had no clue as to what was about to happen on the river.
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isobars



Joined: 12 Dec 1999
Posts: 20319

PostPosted: Tue Sep 07, 2021 8:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I can. It's gonna average 33 mph from 95 degrees all day, with shoulder-high clean swell in the northern 2/3 of Da River and air temps in the 80s and water temp pushing 70. Enjoy.

Well, why not? It's happened before. Smile
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dllee



Joined: 03 Jul 2009
Posts: 5100
Location: East Bay

PostPosted: Tue Sep 07, 2021 8:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

If it's so easy, why don't YOU predict it?
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westender



Joined: 02 Aug 2007
Posts: 1281
Location: Portland / Gorge

PostPosted: Tue Sep 07, 2021 8:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Only the people who have to drive more than 2.5 minutes need a forecast.
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isobars



Joined: 12 Dec 1999
Posts: 20319

PostPosted: Tue Sep 07, 2021 9:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Does 185 miles, each way, for an apre-lunch session, count? Common where I used to live, and worth every gallon if the forecast of warm Chinook winds averaging 30 to 40 mph comes through. New Mexico windsurfing at its finest.
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starfish



Joined: 14 Apr 1996
Posts: 201

PostPosted: Wed Sep 08, 2021 11:03 am    Post subject: forecast Reply with quote

I drive 5 minutes to the event site and i need a forecast...LOL
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PennyB



Joined: 26 Aug 2006
Posts: 47

PostPosted: Wed Sep 08, 2021 1:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Good forecasting gets me out of commiting to a day of chores. It does matter, even if I am local. Just saying....
Penny
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PennyB



Joined: 26 Aug 2006
Posts: 47

PostPosted: Wed Sep 08, 2021 1:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Good forecasting gets me out of commiting to a day of chores. It does matter, even if I am local. Just saying....
Penny
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starfish



Joined: 14 Apr 1996
Posts: 201

PostPosted: Wed Sep 08, 2021 2:04 pm    Post subject: commitments Reply with quote

I make no commitments from May to Oct. Problem solved
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cgoudie1



Joined: 10 Apr 2006
Posts: 2427
Location: Killer Sturgeon Cove

PostPosted: Wed Sep 08, 2021 3:11 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Exactly! I say enjoy it if you get it. Weather prediction is difficult.
Fussing about wind you missed because it wasn't predicted to be
strong enough to go...………..bummer, but ……...

-Craig

p.s. I was skunked twice last week when I thought the East winds should be better than the forecast, and Iwindsuf called it correctly. I could have
listened to them and stayed home, instead I at least got wet, and had
lunch with friends in a darned pleasant environment.

dllee wrote:
If it's so easy, why don't YOU predict it?
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