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wtus82 kjax 312142
hlsjax
434
flz020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125-gaz132>136-149>154-162>166-010545-
tropical storm hermine local statement advisory number 13
national weather service jacksonville fl al092016
542 pm edt wed aug 31 2016
this product covers northeast florida and southeast georgia
**tropical storm hermine strengthening across the southeastern gulf**
new information
---------------
* changes to watches and warnings:
- none
* current watches and warnings:
- a tropical storm watch remains in effect for
hamilton...suwannee...columbia...baker...nassau...
duval...union...bradford...clay...st. johns...
gilchrist...alachua...putnam...marion...coffee...jeff
davis...bacon...appling...wayne...atkinson...ware...
pierce...brantley...glynn...echols...clinch...charlton...
and camden
* storm information:
- about 500 miles southwest of jacksonville fl or about 500 miles
southwest of waycross ga
- 25.5n 87.4w
- storm intensity 45 mph
- movement north-northeast or 30 degrees at 7 mph
situation overview
------------------
tropical storm hermine continues to strengthen across the southeastern
gulf of mexico. the storm is forecast to move towards the panhandle
and big bend region of florida thursday and make landfall thursday
night into friday morning. the storm may reach hurricane strength
before making landfall. tropical storm watches remain in effect for
all of the region except flagler county.
potential impacts
-----------------
* flooding rain:
prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across inland portions of northeast florida and southeast georgia.
potential impacts include:
- moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
rescues.
- rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
in usually vulnerable spots. small streams, creeks, canals,
arroyos, and ditches overflow.
- flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
areas. some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
storm drains and retention ponds overflow. driving conditions
become hazardous. some road and bridge closures.
prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across coastal northeast florida and southeast georgia.
* wind:
prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across
southeast georgia and the suwannee river basin of northeast florida.
potential impacts in this area include:
- some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. a few buildings
experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. mobile
homes damaged, especially if unanchored. unsecured lightweight
objects become dangerous projectiles. winds and wind gusts will
be stronger along the banks of large rivers, such as the saint
johns and brunswick rivers, on high profile bridges and near
marshes.
- several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. several
fences and roadway signs blown over.
- some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places. a few bridges, causeways, and access
routes impassable. winds and wind gusts will be stronger along
the banks of large rivers, such as the saint johns and
brunswick rivers, on high profile bridges and near marshes.
- scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
in areas with above ground lines.
also, prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across across the rest of northeast florida.
* tornadoes:
prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
northeast florida and southeast georgia. potential impacts include:
- the occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- a few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
pulled from moorings.
* surge:
prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across coastal southeast georgia. potential impacts in this area
include:
- localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
marshes and estuaries will be fully flooded at high tide.
populated areas likely to flood include those threatened by
flooding during strong northeasters or which have flooded
during past tropical storms.
- sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
with surge water. driving conditions dangerous in places where
surge water covers the road.
- moderate beach erosion. heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
in usually vulnerable locations. strong rip currents.
- minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
and piers. a few small craft broken away from moorings.
precautionary/preparedness actions
----------------------------------
now is the time to check your emergency plan and take necessary
actions to secure your home or business. deliberate efforts should be
underway to protect life and property. ensure that your emergency
supplies kit is stocked and ready.
when making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track as there are inherent forecast uncertainties
which must be taken into account.
if you live in a place that is particularly vulnerable to high wind,
such as a mobile home, an upper floor of a high rise building, or on
a boat, plan to move to safe shelter. take enough supplies for you
and your family for several days.
if you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley or canyon, or near an already swollen
river, plan to move to safe shelter on higher ground.
always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any orders
that are issued. do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives
of others.
when securing your property, outside preparations should be conducted
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. the onset of
strong gusty winds and heavy rain can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.
visitors to the area should become familiar with nearby surroundings.
if you are a visitor, know the name of the county in which
you are located and where it is relative to current watches and
warnings. if staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their
onsite disaster plan. listen for evacuation orders, especially
pertaining to area visitors.
closely monitor noaa weather radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. listen for possible changes to the
forecast.
* additional sources of information:
- for information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- for information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- for additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
next update
-----------
the next local statement will be issued by the national weather
service in jacksonville fl around midnight tonight, or sooner if conditions
warrant.
$$
wtus82 ktae 312217
hlstae
113
alz065>069-flz007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-gaz120>131-142>148-155>161-010630-
tropical storm hermine local statement advisory number 13
national weather service tallahassee fl al092016
617 pm edt wed aug 31 2016 /517 pm cdt wed aug 31 2016/
this product covers eastern florida panhandle...florida big
bend...southeastern alabama and southwestern georgia
...hermine headed for the florida gulf coast...
new information
---------------
* changes to watches and warnings:
- a hurricane watch has been issued for inland bay...calhoun and
south walton
- a tropical storm warning has been issued for inland
bay...calhoun and south walton
- a tropical storm warning has been issued for
colquitt...cook...berrien...decatur...grady...thomas...
brooks...lowndes and lanier
- a tropical storm warning has been issued for
henry...geneva...houston...north walton...central
walton...holmes...washington...jackson...quitman...clay...
randolph...calhoun...terrell...dougherty...lee...worth...
turner...tift...ben hill...irwin...early...miller...baker...
mitchell and seminole
- a hurricane watch has been issued for inland gulf...inland
franklin...gadsden...leon...inland
jefferson...madison...liberty...inland wakulla...inland
taylor...coastal bay and coastal gulf
* current watches and warnings:
- a hurricane watch is in effect for inland bay...calhoun and
south walton
- a tropical storm warning is in effect for inland bay...calhoun
and south walton
- a tropical storm warning is in effect for
colquitt...cook...berrien...decatur...grady...thomas...brooks
...lowndes and lanier
- a tropical storm warning is in effect for
henry...geneva...houston...north walton...central
walton...holmes...washington...jackson...quitman...clay...
randolph...calhoun...terrell...dougherty...lee...worth...
turner...tift...ben hill...irwin...early...miller...baker...
mitchell and seminole
- a hurricane watch is in effect for inland gulf...inland
franklin...gadsden...leon...inland
jefferson...madison...liberty...inland wakulla...inland
taylor...coastal bay and coastal gulf
- a tropical storm warning remains in effect for inland
gulf...inland franklin...gadsden...leon...inland
jefferson...madison...liberty...inland wakulla...inland
taylor...coastal bay and coastal gulf
- a hurricane watch remains in effect for coastal
franklin...coastal jefferson...coastal wakulla...coastal taylor
and coastal dixie
- a tropical storm warning remains in effect for coastal
franklin...coastal jefferson...coastal wakulla...coastal taylor
and coastal dixie
- a tropical storm warning remains in effect for
lafayette...inland dixie
* storm information:
- about 330 miles south-southwest of apalachicola or about 390
miles south-southwest of tallahassee
- 25.5n 87.4w
- storm intensity 45 mph
- movement north-northeast or 30 degrees at 7 mph
situation overview
------------------
tropical storm hermine continues to strengthen across the southern
gulf of mexico. hermine is expected to continue moving northward
toward the florida gulf coast with tropical storm conditions
approaching the coast by thursday afternoon. there is some potential
for the system to strengthen to a hurricane before making landfall
early friday morning. tropical storm warnings are now in effect from
destin eastward through the suwannee river. with the storm possibly
strengthening to a hurricane, a hurricane watch is now in effect for
our entire coastline and a few inland counties in the florida big
bend.
at this time based on the latest forecasts, areas in north florida
should prepare for the potential of near hurricane force winds late
thursday evening and early friday morning. there is also a
significant threat for flooding with some locations receiving as
much as 15 to 20 inches of rain through friday afternoon. this is
capable of producing life threatening flash flooding across the
area.
along the coast, dangerous storm surge flooding is expected with storm
surge values of 4 to 6 feet above ground in apalachee bay.
potential impacts
-----------------
* wind:
protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts
across the florida panhandle and florida big bend. potential impacts
in this area include:
- moderate damage to frame built homes, primarily due to the loss
of roofing and siding materials, along with damage to porches,
awnings, carports, and sheds. some windows and garage doors may
fail. mobile homes damaged, some significantly if unanchored.
unsecured lightweight objects become projectiles.
- several large trees uprooted; some snapped. some large roadway
signs blown over.
- a few primary and some secondary roads are impassible due to
debris.
- scattered power and communication outages; some locally
significant, lasting for days.
* flooding rain:
protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across north florida and south georgia.
potential impacts include:
- major flooding from rainfall will prompt evacuations in flood
prone areas. those not heeding evacuations in these locations
face serious injury or death.
- rivers and associated tributary creeks and stream will rise and
overflow into the flood plain. runoff will put stress on area
holding ponds and drainage ditches, increasing the likelihood
of widespread urban flooding.
- flood waters will impact structures in low lying areas, as well
as those in the flood plain, possibly entering buildings. urban
flooding will result in several road closures and some
washouts. a few overpasses may be weakened by fast moving flood
waters. driving conditions are very dangerous.
* tornadoes:
protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across north florida.
potential impacts include:
- isolated tornadoes are expected, resulting in a notable impact
to affected communities.
- isolated areas affected by tornadoes will experience minor
damage, including some damage to structures and sporadic power
and communication outages.
- a few structures will be damaged by tornadoes, mainly with loss
of shingles or siding. some mobile homes will be significantly
damaged, especially those unanchored. large trees will be
snapped or uprooted.
precautionary/preparedness actions
----------------------------------
* evacuations:
emergency management officials have issued a mandatory evacuation for
the following areas...
in wakulla county...locations in zone a.
in dixie county...all coastal areas effective at 8 am thursday.
in franklin county...for residents of st george island.
for those under evacuation orders, leave as soon as practical
with a destination in mind. gas up your vehicle well ahead of
time. be sure that you take all essential materials from your
emergency supplies kit. let others know where you are going
and when you intend to arrive.
if you are exceptionally vulnerable to wind or water hazards from
tropical systems, consider voluntary evacuation, especially if
being officially recommended. relocate to a predetermined shelter
or safe destination.
now is the time to bring to completion all preparations to protect
life and property in accordance with your emergency plan.
outside preparations should be wrapped up as soon as possible before
weather conditions completely deteriorate. any remaining evacuations
and relocations should be expedited before the onset of tropical
storm force wind.
keep cell phones well charged and handy. also, cell phone chargers
for automobiles can be helpful after the storm. locate your chargers
and keep them with your cell phone.
closely monitor noaa weather radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. be ready to adapt to possible changes to
the forecast.
next update
-----------
the next local statement will be issued by the national weather
service in tallahassee fl as conditions warrant.
$$

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