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wtus84 kjan 280310
hlsjan
611 
msz029>033-037>039-043>046-048>052-054>058-061>066-072>074-281115-

tropical storm zeta local statement advisory number 14
national weather service jackson ms  al282020
1010 pm cdt tue oct 27 2020

this product covers central mississippi, northeast louisiana, and 
southeast arkansas

**zeta continues northwestward, forecast to become a hurricane before 
landfall** 

new information
---------------

* changes to watches and warnings:
    - none

* current watches and warnings:
    - a tropical storm warning is in effect for forrest, jones, and 
      lamar

* storm information:
    - about 530 miles south-southwest of hattiesburg ms or about 590 
      miles south of jackson ms
    - 23.8n 91.2w
    - storm intensity 70 mph
    - movement northwest or 325 degrees at 15 mph

situation overview
------------------

tropical storm zeta, currently situated over the southern gulf of
mexico, continues to move northwestward this evening. zeta is forecast
to become a hurricane again late tonight or early wednesday morning. a
turn more toward the north then northeast is expected as zeta
approaches the southeastern louisiana coast on wednesday, weakening
after making landfall as it moves across far southeastern mississippi.
the potential for flash flooding and gusty winds will exist across
parts of southeastern and eastern mississippi, particularly in the
pine belt wednesday afternoon through wednesday night as zeta moves
near the area. conditions will improve early thursday morning as zeta
moves into alabama.

potential impacts
-----------------

* flooding rain:
protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible 
significant impacts across southeastern mississippi. potential 
impacts include:
    - moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and 
      rescues.
    - rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter 
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially 
      in usually vulnerable spots. small streams, creeks, canals, and 
      ditches overflow.
    - flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations. 
      several places may experience expanded areas of rapid 
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage 
      areas. some streets and parking lots take on moving water as 
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. driving conditions 
      become hazardous. some road and bridge closures.

protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible 
limited impacts across portions of central and northeastern mississippi.

* wind:
protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts 
across southeastern mississippi. potential impacts in this area 
include:
    - some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage 
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. a few buildings 
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. mobile 
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. unsecured lightweight 
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater 
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. several 
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban 
      or heavily wooded places. a few bridges, causeways, and access 
      routes impassable.
    - scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent 
      in areas with above ground lines.

also, protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts 
across southern and eastern portions of central mississippi.

elsewhere across central mississippi, northeast louisiana, and 
southeast arkansas, little to no impact is anticipated.

precautionary/preparedness actions
----------------------------------

* other preparedness information:
if you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in 
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which 
it resides. listen for these locations in local news updates. pay 
attention for instructions from local authorities.

rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. if you are in a flood-prone 
area, consider moving to higher ground. never drive through a flooded 
roadway. remember, turn around don't drown!

closely monitor weather.gov, noaa weather radio or local news outlets 
for official storm information. be ready to adapt to possible changes 
to the forecast. ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather 
warnings.

* additional sources of information:
- for information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- for information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- for additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

next update
-----------

the next local statement will be issued by the national weather 
service in jackson ms around 4 am cdt, or sooner if conditions 
warrant.

$$
wtus84 klch 280321
hlslch
993 
laz052>055-281130-

tropical storm zeta local statement advisory number 14
national weather service lake charles la  al282020
1021 pm cdt tue oct 27 2020

this product covers southwest louisiana and southeast texas

**zeta expected to bring hurricane conditions and storm surge to a
 portion of the northern gulf coast today**

new information
---------------

* changes to watches and warnings:
    - none

* current watches and warnings:
    - a tropical storm watch is in effect for iberia, lower st. 
      martin, st. mary, and vermilion

* storm information:
    - about 430 miles south-southeast of cameron la or about 410 
      miles south of morgan city la
    - 23.8n 91.2w
    - storm intensity 70 mph
    - movement northwest or 325 degrees at 15 mph

situation overview
------------------

tropical storm zeta continues to become more organized as it moves
northwest across the gulf of mexico. zeta is forecast to strengthen to
hurricane force overnight, with a gradual turn toward the north
expected. zeta will begin to accelerate north-northeastward on 
wednesday, with a landfall expected along the southeast louisiana 
coast late wednesday afternoon or early evening.

tropical storm force winds are expected to enter the eastern portion
of the coastal waters beyond 20 nm east of intracoastal city early
wednesday morning, then spread northward through the eastern sections
of the coastal waters during the day. 

some tropical storm force winds, mainly in gusts, will be possible for
the lower atchafalaya basin wednesday afternoon and evening. some
water level rises will be possible along the vermilion and atchafalaya
bays during wednesday with the easterly flow ahead of zeta.

potential impacts
-----------------

* wind:
prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across
the lower atchafalaya basin. potential impacts in this area include:
    - some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage 
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. a few buildings 
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. mobile 
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. unsecured lightweight 
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater 
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. several 
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban 
      or heavily wooded places. a few bridges and access routes 
      impassable.
    - scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent 
      in areas with above ground lines.

elsewhere across southwest louisiana and southeast texas, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* surge:
prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across the vermilion and atchafalaya bays. potential impacts in this 
area include:
    - localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along 
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas 
      farther inland along rivers and bayous that drain into the gulf.
    - sections of roads and parking lots near bodies of water may 
      become overspread with surge water. driving conditions 
      dangerous in places where surge water covers the road.
    - moderate beach erosion. heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly 
      in usually vulnerable locations. strong rip currents.
    - minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, and piers. 
      a few small craft broken away from moorings.

elsewhere across southwest louisiana and southeast texas, little to 
no impact is anticipated.

* flooding rain:
prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible limited
impacts across the lower atchafalaya basin. potential impacts include:
    - localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents. 
      small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen 
      and overflow in spots.
    - flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually 
      vulnerable spots. a few places where rapid ponding of water 
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage 
      areas. several storm drains and retention ponds become 
      near-full and begin to overflow. some brief road and bridge 
      closures. 

elsewhere across southwest louisiana and southeast texas, little to 
no impact is anticipated.

precautionary/preparedness actions
----------------------------------

* evacuations:
watch/warning phase - listen to local official for recommended 
preparedness actions, including possible evacuation. if ordered to 
evacuate, do so immediately. 


* other preparedness information:
now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies 
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your 
home or business.

always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that 
are issued. do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of 
others.

check on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are 
unable to make personal preparations.

closely monitor weather.gov, noaa weather radio and local news outlets
for official storm information. listen for possible changes to the 
forecast.


* additional sources of information:
- for information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- for information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- for additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

next update
-----------

the next local statement will be issued by the national weather 
service in lake charles la around 4 am cdt, or sooner if conditions 
warrant.

$$
wtus84 klix 280906
hlslix
290 
laz034>037-039-040-046>050-056>072-msz068>071-077-080>082-281715-

hurricane zeta local statement advisory number 15
national weather service new orleans la  al282020
406 am cdt wed oct 28 2020

this product covers southeast louisiana and south mississippi

**zeta expected to bring hurricane conditions and storm surge to a 
portion of the northern gulf coast today**

new information
---------------

* changes to watches and warnings:
    - none

* current watches and warnings:
    - a storm surge warning and hurricane warning are in effect for 
      hancock, harrison, jackson, lower jefferson, lower lafourche, 
      lower plaquemines, lower st. bernard, lower terrebonne, 
      orleans, southern tangipahoa, st. charles, st. john the 
      baptist, st. tammany, and upper st. bernard
    - a hurricane warning is in effect for ascension, assumption, 
      livingston, st. james, upper jefferson, upper lafourche, upper 
      plaquemines, and upper terrebonne
    - a tropical storm warning is in effect for northern tangipahoa, 
      pearl river, pike, st. helena, walthall, and washington

* storm information:
    - about 350 miles south-southwest of new orleans la or about 400 
      miles south-southwest of gulfport ms
    - 25.1n 91.8w
    - storm intensity 85 mph
    - movement north-northwest or 345 degrees at 17 mph

situation overview
------------------

hurricane zeta will move through the central gulf this morning then
move into the north central gulf by this afternoon and evening.
landfall is likely to occur during the late afternoon or early evening
hours today as zeta accelerates through the northern gulf. impacts
from zeta will be felt along and near the coast as early as late this
morning or early afternoon.

potential impacts
-----------------

* wind:
protect against life-threatening wind having possible extensive 
impacts across extreme southeast louisiana. potential impacts in 
this area include:
    - considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having 
      window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural 
      damage. mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed. 
      damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. locations may be 
      uninhabitable for weeks. 
    - many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and 
      roadway signs blown over.
    - some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban 
      or heavily wooded places. several bridges, causeways, and 
      access routes impassable.
    - large areas with power and communications outages.

also, protect against dangerous wind having possible limited to 
significant impacts across east-central louisiana and southwest
mississippi.

* surge:
protect against life-threatening surge having possible extensive 
impacts across coastal mississippi. potential impacts in 
this area include:
    - large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding 
      accentuated by battering waves. structural damage to buildings, 
      with several washing away. damage compounded by floating 
      debris. locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period.
    - large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads 
      washed out or severely flooded. flood control systems and 
      barriers may become stressed.
    - severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.
    - major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. many 
      small craft broken away from moorings, especially in 
      unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded.

also, protect against life-threatening surge having possible 
significant impacts across coastal eastern louisiana.

also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited 
impacts across the tidal lakes and along the central louisiana coast.

elsewhere across southeast louisiana and south mississippi, little to 
no impact is anticipated.

* flooding rain:
protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible 
significant impacts across easternmost louisiana and southeast
mississippi. potential impacts include:
    - moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and 
      rescues.
    - rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter 
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially 
      in usually vulnerable spots. small streams, creeks, canals, and 
      ditches overflow.
    - flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations. 
      several places may experience expanded areas of rapid 
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage 
      areas. some streets and parking lots take on moving water as 
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. driving conditions 
      become hazardous. some road and bridge closures.

protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible 
limited impacts across east-central louisiana and southwest 
mississippi.

* tornadoes:
protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts 
across easternmost louisiana and southeast mississippi. potential 
impacts include:
    - the occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution 
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - a few places may experience tornado damage, along with power 
      and communications disruptions.
    - locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys 
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, 
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees 
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats 
      pulled from moorings.

elsewhere across southeast louisiana and south mississippi, little to 
no impact is anticipated.

precautionary/preparedness actions
----------------------------------

* evacuations:
listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions, 
including possible evacuation. if ordered to evacuate, do so 
immediately. 

for those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind, 
falling trees, and flooding at your location. if you decide to move, 
relocate to a safer location nearby. if you do not relocate, help keep 
roadways open for those under evacuation orders. 

if evacuating, leave with a destination in mind and allow extra time 
to get there. take your emergency supplies kit. gas up your vehicle 
ahead of time.

* other preparedness information:
now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. preparations should be
completed prior to wednesday morning. ensure you are in a safe 
location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

when making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the 
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging 
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the 
center of the storm. 

if you are relocating to safe shelter, leave as early as possible. 
allow extra time to reach your destination. many roads and bridges 
will be closed once strong winds arrive. check the latest weather 
forecast before departing and drive with caution.

if in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large 
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or 
on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter.

always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that 
are issued. do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of 
others.

when securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded 
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. the onset of 
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness 
activities to become unsafe.

be sure to let friends and family members know of your intentions for 
weathering the storm and your whereabouts. have someone located away 
from the threatened area serve as your point of contact. share vital 
contact information with others. keep cell phones handy and charged.

check on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are 
unable to make personal preparations.

failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of 
life. always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any 
orders that are issued. remember, during the storm 9 1 1 emergency 
services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are 
unsafe. this should be a big factor in your decision making.

it is important to remain calm, informed, and focused during an 
emergency. be patient and helpful with those you encounter.

if you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in 
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which 
it resides. listen for these locations in local news updates. pay 
attention for instructions from local authorities.

storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and 
hurricanes! make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge 
zone. even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find 
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. heed 
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.

if a tornado warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter 
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not prone
to flooding. if driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter options.

closely monitor weather.gov, noaa weather radio or local news outlets 
for official storm information. be ready to adapt to possible changes 
to the forecast. ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather 
warnings.

* additional sources of information:
- for information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- for information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- for additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

next update
-----------

the next local statement will be issued by the national weather 
service in new orleans la around 7 am cdt, or sooner if conditions 
warrant.

$$
wtus84 klix 280319
hlslix
068 
laz034>037-039-040-046>050-056>072-msz068>071-077-080>082-281130-

tropical storm zeta local statement advisory number 14
national weather service new orleans la  al282020
1019 pm cdt tue oct 27 2020

this product covers southeast louisiana and south mississippi

**zeta expected to bring hurricane conditions and storm surge to a 
portion of the northern gulf coast today**

new information
---------------

* changes to watches and warnings:
    - none

* current watches and warnings:
    - a storm surge warning and hurricane warning are in effect for 
      hancock, harrison, jackson, lower jefferson, lower lafourche, 
      lower plaquemines, lower st. bernard, lower terrebonne, 
      orleans, southern tangipahoa, st. charles, st. john the 
      baptist, st. tammany, and upper st. bernard
    - a hurricane warning is in effect for ascension, assumption, 
      livingston, st. james, upper jefferson, upper lafourche, upper 
      plaquemines, and upper terrebonne
    - a tropical storm warning is in effect for northern tangipahoa, 
      pearl river, pike, st. helena, walthall, and washington

* storm information:
    - about 430 miles south of new orleans la or about 470 miles 
      south-southwest of gulfport ms
    - 23.8n 91.2w
    - storm intensity 70 mph
    - movement northwest or 325 degrees at 15 mph

situation overview
------------------

tropical storm zeta will move through the central gulf early wednesday
morning then move into the north central gulf by wednesday afternoon 
and evening. landfall is likely to occur during the late afternoon or
early evening hours wednesday as zeta accelerates through the northern
gulf as a hurricane. impacts from zeta will be felt along and near
the coast as early as late wednesday morning or early afternoon.

potential impacts
-----------------

* wind:
protect against life-threatening wind having possible extensive 
impacts across extreme southeast louisiana. potential impacts in 
this area include:
    - considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having 
      window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural 
      damage. mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed. 
      damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. locations may be 
      uninhabitable for weeks. 
    - many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and 
      roadway signs blown over.
    - some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban 
      or heavily wooded places. several bridges, causeways, and 
      access routes impassable.
    - large areas with power and communications outages.

also, protect against dangerous wind having possible limited to 
significant impacts across east-central louisiana and southwest
mississippi.

* surge:
protect against life-threatening surge having possible extensive 
impacts across coastal mississippi. potential impacts in 
this area include:
    - large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding 
      accentuated by battering waves. structural damage to buildings, 
      with several washing away. damage compounded by floating 
      debris. locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period.
    - large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads 
      washed out or severely flooded. flood control systems and 
      barriers may become stressed.
    - severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.
    - major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. many 
      small craft broken away from moorings, especially in 
      unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded.

also, protect against life-threatening surge having possible 
significant impacts across coastal eastern louisiana.

also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited 
impacts across the tidal lakes and along the central louisiana coast.

elsewhere across southeast louisiana and south mississippi, little to 
no impact is anticipated.

* flooding rain:
protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible 
significant impacts across easternmost louisiana and southeast
mississippi. potential impacts include:
    - moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and 
      rescues.
    - rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter 
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially 
      in usually vulnerable spots. small streams, creeks, canals, and 
      ditches overflow.
    - flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations. 
      several places may experience expanded areas of rapid 
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage 
      areas. some streets and parking lots take on moving water as 
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. driving conditions 
      become hazardous. some road and bridge closures.

protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible 
limited impacts across east-central louisiana and southwest 
mississippi.

* tornadoes:
protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts 
across easternmost louisiana and southeast mississippi. potential 
impacts include:
    - the occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution 
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - a few places may experience tornado damage, along with power 
      and communications disruptions.
    - locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys 
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, 
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees 
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats 
      pulled from moorings.

elsewhere across southeast louisiana and south mississippi, little to 
no impact is anticipated.

precautionary/preparedness actions
----------------------------------

* evacuations:
listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions, 
including possible evacuation. if ordered to evacuate, do so 
immediately. 

for those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind, 
falling trees, and flooding at your location. if you decide to move, 
relocate to a safer location nearby. if you do not relocate, help keep 
roadways open for those under evacuation orders. 

if evacuating, leave with a destination in mind and allow extra time 
to get there. take your emergency supplies kit. gas up your vehicle 
ahead of time.

* other preparedness information:
now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. preparations should be
completed prior to wednesday morning. ensure you are in a safe 
location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

when making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the 
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging 
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the 
center of the storm. 

if you are relocating to safe shelter, leave as early as possible. 
allow extra time to reach your destination. many roads and bridges 
will be closed once strong winds arrive. check the latest weather 
forecast before departing and drive with caution.

if in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large 
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or 
on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter.

always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that 
are issued. do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of 
others.

when securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded 
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. the onset of 
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness 
activities to become unsafe.

be sure to let friends and family members know of your intentions for 
weathering the storm and your whereabouts. have someone located away 
from the threatened area serve as your point of contact. share vital 
contact information with others. keep cell phones handy and charged.

check on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are 
unable to make personal preparations.

failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of 
life. always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any 
orders that are issued. remember, during the storm 9 1 1 emergency 
services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are 
unsafe. this should be a big factor in your decision making.

it is important to remain calm, informed, and focused during an 
emergency. be patient and helpful with those you encounter.

if you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in 
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which 
it resides. listen for these locations in local news updates. pay 
attention for instructions from local authorities.

storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and 
hurricanes! make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge 
zone. even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find 
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. heed 
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.

if a tornado warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter 
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not prone
to flooding. if driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter options.

closely monitor weather.gov, noaa weather radio or local news outlets 
for official storm information. be ready to adapt to possible changes 
to the forecast. ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather 
warnings.

* additional sources of information:
- for information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- for information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- for additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

next update
-----------

the next local statement will be issued by the national weather 
service in new orleans la around 4 am cdt, or sooner if conditions 
warrant.

$$
wtus84 kmob 280323
hlsmob
051 
alz051>060-261>266-flz201>206-msz067-075-076-078-079-281130-

tropical storm zeta local statement advisory number 14
national weather service mobile al  al282020
1023 pm cdt tue oct 27 2020

this product covers portions of southwest alabama...northwest florida...south 
central alabama...and inland southeast mississippi.

***zeta better organized late this evening as it moves towards the central gulf coast*** 

new information
---------------

* changes to watches and warnings:
    - none

* current watches and warnings:
    - a storm surge warning and tropical storm warning are in effect 
      for baldwin central, baldwin coastal, escambia coastal, mobile 
      central, mobile coastal, and santa rosa coastal
    - a tropical storm warning is in effect for baldwin inland, 
      butler, choctaw, clarke, conecuh, covington, crenshaw, 
      escambia, escambia inland, george, greene, mobile inland, 
      monroe, okaloosa coastal, okaloosa inland, perry, santa rosa 
      inland, stone, washington, wayne, and wilcox

* storm information:
    - about 510 miles south-southwest of mobile al
    - 23.8n 91.2w
    - storm intensity 70 mph
    - movement northwest or 325 degrees at 15 mph

situation overview
------------------

as of 10:00 pm cdt, the center of tropical storm zeta was located near latitude
23.8 north, longitude 91.2 west and was moving toward the northwest near 15 mph.
a turn toward the north is expected overnight, and a faster northward to
north-northeast motion on wednesday. on this forecast track,zeta is forecast to make 
landfall in southeastern louisiana wednesday afternoon, move close to the 
mississippi coast wednesday evening, and then rapidly off to the northeast thereafter.
zeta is forecast to become a hurricane again overnight. multiple regional impacts are 
expected, including damaging winds, deadly storm surge, heavy rain, dangerous 
surf and rip currents, and isolated tornadoes. we remain very concerned about the damaging 
wind potential as zeta moves across our area wednesday evening and wednesday night. numerous 
trees and power lines may be downed, even across inland areas. if leaning and/or 
weakened trees are near your home, please have a plan to prepare and be
as safe as possible!

potential impacts
-----------------

* wind:
protect against life-threatening wind having possible extensive 
impacts across interior southeast mississippi and southwestern alabama. 
potential impacts in this area include:
    - considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having 
      window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural 
      damage. mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed. 
      damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. locations may be 
      uninhabitable for weeks. 
    - many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and 
      roadway signs blown over.
    - some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban 
      or heavily wooded places.
    - large areas with power and communications outages.

also, protect against dangerous wind having possible limited to 
significant impacts across the extreme western florida panhandle and south central 
alabama.

* surge:
protect against life-threatening surge having possible extensive 
impacts across coastal alabama. potential impacts in 
this area include:
    - large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding 
      accentuated by battering waves. structural damage to buildings, 
      with several washing away. damage compounded by floating 
      debris. locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period.
    - large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads 
      washed out or severely flooded. flood control systems and 
      barriers may become stressed.
    - severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.
    - major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. many 
      small craft broken away from moorings, especially in 
      unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded.

also, protect against life-threatening surge having possible 
significant impacts across the western florida panhandle - generally west of navarre.

also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited 
impacts from navarre to destin.

elsewhere across portions of southwest alabama...northwest 
florida...south central alabama...and inland southeast mississippi., 
little to no impact is anticipated.

* tornadoes:
protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts 
across portions of southwest alabama...northwest florida...south 
central alabama...and inland southeast mississippi.. potential 
impacts include:
    - the occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution 
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - a few places may experience tornado damage, along with power 
      and communications disruptions.
    - locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys 
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, 
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees 
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats 
      pulled from moorings.

* flooding rain:
protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible 
significant impacts west of the i-65 corridor over interior southeast mississippi
and southwest alabama. potential impacts include:
    - moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and 
      rescues.
    - rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter 
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially 
      in usually vulnerable spots. small streams, creeks, canals, and 
      ditches overflow.
    - flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations. 
      several places may experience expanded areas of rapid 
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage 
      areas. some streets and parking lots take on moving water as 
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. driving conditions 
      become hazardous. some road and bridge closures.

protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible limited impacts 
across east of the i-65 corridor, mainly in south central alabama.

precautionary/preparedness actions
----------------------------------

* evacuations:
listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions, including possible evacuation. 
if ordered to evacuate, do so immediately. 

for those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind, falling trees, and flooding 
at your location. if you decide to move, relocate to a safer location nearby. if you do not 
relocate, help keep roadways open for those under evacuation orders. 

* other preparedness information:
now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and 
property in accordance with your emergency plan. ensure you are in a 
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

if in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large 
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or 
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of 
strong winds or flooding.

closely monitor weather.gov, noaa weather radio or local news outlets 
for official storm information. be ready to adapt to possible changes 
to the forecast. ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather 
warnings.

* additional sources of information:
- for the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please 
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number 
or website listed below.
- coastal alabama:
- baldwin county: 251-972-6807 or 
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/ema
- mobile county: 251-460-8000 or www.mcema.net
- northwest florida:
- escambia county: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com
- santa rosa county: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- okaloosa county: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- for information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- for additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

next update
-----------

the next local statement will be issued by the national weather 
service in mobile al around 5 am cdt, or sooner if conditions warrant.

medlin

$$

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