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fzus61 kbuf 051503
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open lake forecast for lake ontario
national weather service buffalo ny
1002 am est thu mar 5 2026

for waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on lake ontario

waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

.synopsis...a 29.9 inch low will track from the ohio valley to just 
south of lake erie today, across pennsylvania tonight, then off the 
jersey coast friday while weakening to 30.1 inches. another 29.6 
inch low will lift across the upper great lakes saturday, with its 
trailing cold front crossing the lake saturday night. a large 30.1 
inch high will then move from the lower ohio valley to the mid 
atlantic region sunday and monday while ridging north across the 
lake.


loz062-063-052200-
lake ontario open waters from the niagara river to sodus bay-
1002 am est thu mar 5 2026

.this afternoon...east winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northeast.
rain showers likely late. waves 3 to 6 feet building to 5 to
8 feet. waves occasionally around 10 feet. 
.tonight...northeast winds 15 to 25 knots becoming east. rain
showers early, then rain showers and freezing rain likely late in
the evening. rain showers likely after midnight. waves 5 to
8 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. waves occasionally around
10 feet. 
.friday...east winds 5 to 15 knots. waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding
to 1 to 3 feet. 
.friday night...southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south
15 to 20 knots. a chance of rain showers in the evening, then
rain showers likely overnight. waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to
4 feet. 
.saturday...south winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. rain
showers. waves 3 to 5 feet building to 5 to 8 feet. waves
occasionally around 10 feet. 
.sunday...west winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest. waves
3 to 5 feet building to 4 to 7 feet. waves occasionally around
9 feet. 
.monday...southwest winds 15 to 25 knots. waves 3 to 6 feet. 

$$
fzus61 kbuf 051503
glflo 
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open lake forecast for lake ontario
national weather service buffalo ny
1002 am est thu mar 5 2026

for waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on lake ontario

waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

.synopsis...a 29.9 inch low will track from the ohio valley to just 
south of lake erie today, across pennsylvania tonight, then off the 
jersey coast friday while weakening to 30.1 inches. another 29.6 
inch low will lift across the upper great lakes saturday, with its 
trailing cold front crossing the lake saturday night. a large 30.1 
inch high will then move from the lower ohio valley to the mid 
atlantic region sunday and monday while ridging north across the 
lake.


loz064-065-052200-
lake ontario open waters from sodus bay to the saint lawrence
river-
1002 am est thu mar 5 2026

.this afternoon...northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. a chance of rain
showers late. waves 2 to 4 feet. 
.tonight...northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east. rain
showers with a chance of freezing rain early, then rain showers
with freezing rain likely. waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to
3 feet. 
.friday...east winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast. waves 1 to
3 feet. 
.friday night...southeast winds 15 to 25 knots becoming south.
rain showers likely overnight. waves 2 feet or less building to
3 to 5 feet. 
.saturday...south winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. rain
showers. waves 3 to 6 feet building to 4 to 7 feet. waves
occasionally around 9 feet. 
.sunday...west winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to
20 knots. waves 3 to 5 feet building to 3 to 6 feet. 
.monday...southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. waves 3 to 6 feet
subsiding to 3 to 5 feet. 

$$
fzus61 kcle 051455
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open lake forecast for lake erie
national weather service cleveland oh
955 am est thu mar 5 2026

for waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on lake erie

waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

.synopsis...
a stalled frontal boundary will waver over northern ohio through 
tonight before it lifts northward across lake erie as a warm 
front on friday. low pressure 29.70 inches will track northeast 
through the upper midwest and upper great lakes on saturday. a 
trailing cold front will sweep eastward across lake erie saturday 
evening. a ridge averaging 30.10 inches will build into the ohio 
valley region sunday before shifting east by monday.


lez061-167>169-052115-
ripley to buffalo ny extending from 5nm off shoreline to us-
canadian border-willowick to geneva-on-the-
lake oh beyond 5nm off shoreline to us-canadian border-geneva-on-
the-lake to conneaut oh beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us-
canadian border-
conneaut oh to ripley ny beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us-
canadian border-
955 am est thu mar 5 2026

.rest of today...northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. areas of dense
fog. a chance of rain showers and freezing rain late this
morning, then rain showers this afternoon. the lake is mostly ice
covered.
.tonight...northeast winds 5 to 15 knots diminishing to less than
10 knots. rain showers early, then a chance of rain showers late
in the evening. areas of dense fog early, then patchy fog from
late evening on. 
.friday...northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming east. patchy
dense fog in the morning. 
.friday night...southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south
15 to 20 knots. a chance of showers overnight. 
.saturday...south winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west and
diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. rain showers during the day, then a
chance of rain showers saturday night. 
.sunday...west winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to
20 knots. 
.monday...southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. 

winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

waves omitted due to the lake being mostly ice covered.

$$
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