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keycocker
Joined: 10 Jul 2005 Posts: 3598
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Posted: Fri Jan 18, 2013 5:33 am Post subject: |
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The I windsurf forecasts for Maui give me pause.
At least it won't be crowded out there.
Momma told me not to come.That ain't no way to have fun, son. |
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MalibuGuru
Joined: 11 Nov 1993 Posts: 9300
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Posted: Fri Jan 18, 2013 11:18 am Post subject: |
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Keycocker, let me know what it looks like out there. I may come back over on Saturday when the surf dies a little. 30 foot close out at lowers is just as scary as any place that big.
Wondering if there will be any channel? Photos please. |
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windoggi
Joined: 22 Feb 2002 Posts: 2743
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Posted: Fri Jan 18, 2013 11:46 am Post subject: |
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kevinkan wrote: | when is that shit supposed to hit the West Coast? I'll camp out at Ashby Shoal for some epic waist high waves | See you out there! Does it really get rideable? Low tide I assume. _________________ /w\ |
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jp5
Joined: 19 May 1998 Posts: 3394 Location: OnUr6
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windoggi
Joined: 22 Feb 2002 Posts: 2743
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Posted: Fri Jan 18, 2013 1:19 pm Post subject: |
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medium tide. _________________ /w\ |
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dllee
Joined: 03 Jul 2009 Posts: 5329 Location: East Bay
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Posted: Fri Jan 18, 2013 1:39 pm Post subject: |
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Looks like E winds are still here, so it might be ON.
Medium low, maybe a 1.5 is best, so swell get's in, but it's shallow enough to make for more than just rolling swells.
Bring your windsurf board or SUP, as it's gonna be just over knee high.
They've been dredging there lately thous, so watch out for muddy waters.... |
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dllee
Joined: 03 Jul 2009 Posts: 5329 Location: East Bay
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Posted: Fri Jan 18, 2013 2:50 pm Post subject: |
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One possible roadblock....
It's still strong E winds.
E winds seem to knock down bigger swells from reaching across water.
Notice most big days have side winds or following winds.
This one is opposing winds. |
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LHDR
Joined: 22 Jun 2007 Posts: 528
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Posted: Fri Jan 18, 2013 8:32 pm Post subject: |
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Is there a good book or other resource that would allow me to understand sentences like these?
"ALL MEDIUM RANGE MODELS AGREE THAT THE EXTENDED FORECAST LOOKS REAL GOOD AS CALIFORNIA SITS UNDER THE RIDGE PORTION OF LARGE OMEGA BLOCK. " |
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carl
Joined: 25 Feb 1997 Posts: 2674 Location: SF bay area
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Posted: Fri Jan 18, 2013 10:43 pm Post subject: |
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Look at the greek symbol omega. It looks like an upsidedown "U".
Now look at a current satilite photo of the western pacific and Calif.
The storm track and jet stream is diverted up into a large omega
shape. north of Calif. The high pressure in the middle of the omega blocks all storms and sends them up and over Calif, yielding nice weather (but unfortunatly for us, windless). |
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kevinkan
Joined: 07 Jun 2001 Posts: 1661 Location: San Francisco
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Posted: Sat Jan 19, 2013 12:47 am Post subject: |
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windoggie wrote: | kevinkan wrote: | when is that shit supposed to hit the West Coast? I'll camp out at Ashby Shoal for some epic waist high waves | See you out there! Does it really get rideable? Low tide I assume. |
yep, low tide... the shoal in the video is probably on an extreme negative tide... I think we have about a +1.5 or something which should be fine _________________ Kevin Kan
Sunset Sailboards, San Francisco CA
http://www.sunsetsailboards.com
https://www.instagram.com/sunsetsailboards
http://www.facebook.com/sunsetsailboards |
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