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isobars
Joined: 12 Dec 1999 Posts: 20935
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Posted: Fri Feb 15, 2008 6:31 pm Post subject: |
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gmclean wrote: | Quote: | MM5 used to work fine anywhere out east, but was absolutely useless last year; maybe it will work this year. |
I am curious where you see the failing. Is it forecasting too much or too little or is the timing off? Or is there some other failure. I think we could get a response from UW if we could point to some specifics. |
Considering your profession and job, you probably could get some cooperation. All we "civilians", especially mere windsurfers, got was a snide dismissal to our feedback.
The problem last year was very simple: mm5 predicted virtually no sailable wind out east day for almost the entire season. They predicted wind over 15 kts maybe 8-10 days between March and November. On at least 8 out of every 10 days that NOAA, iW, local TV, and my dog predicted > 20 kts -- even sustained 30+ or 40+ -- mm5 predicted 5-10-15 kts. At best, and only rarely, their models would wake up by mid-AM to the fact that everyone else had seen today's high winds coming for 2-4 days. Plain and simple, their eastern Gorge surface wind model went to sleep last year.
\m/
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icesailing
Joined: 04 Feb 2008 Posts: 172
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Posted: Sat Apr 26, 2008 6:30 pm Post subject: cool sailing |
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new england
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isobars
Joined: 12 Dec 1999 Posts: 20935
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Posted: Sat Apr 26, 2008 6:59 pm Post subject: |
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Man ... that is some FLAT friggin' water!
How much wind does it take to whip up some swell on that pond? What is that ... a 12.0?
\m/
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