Irma Forecast

gvogelsang · Joined: 09 Nov 1988 Posts: 433

And let's not forget the folks on Barbuda and Antigua who are getting pounded a second time by Jose.

I can't imagine.

DrWind · Joined: 17 Jul 1994 Posts: 443

One of my aunt and uncle's are in St. Petersburg on Treasure Island. They are at their house. Was thinking of visiting them this evening.

Not sure what exactly happened, but after following several independent meteorologists and their comments it was clear that the GFS model was constantly incorrect, while the ECMWF has been spot on. Seems that the multi-million dollar upgrade after Sandy was not enough. During Sandy the ECMWF was pretty much spot on for almost a week.

In regards to Jose, both ECMWF and GFS are painting a potentially ominous picture for the Northeast. A high builds over the Atlantic and pretty much blocks Jose to track out into the open Atlantic and forces Jose to track northwest from wherever he gets displaced due to Irma's landfall.

Lars

DrWind · Joined: 17 Jul 1994 Posts: 443

Here some detailed track info from Joe Bastardi. He is predicting 150 at landfall right smack over Pine Island.

Will be interesting to watch until the power goes out.

http://www.capeweather.com/bokeelia-florida-fishing-pier-webcam.html

Lars