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windfind
Joined: 18 Mar 1997 Posts: 1901
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Posted: Wed Aug 03, 2016 3:48 pm Post subject: UPDATED blog: Gorge waves & Nuke and Puke mode. |
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Hi Gang,
It is an open secret that the Gorge often has gusty winds. But sometimes the gusts and lulls are so extreme that some sites are in "Blast and Bob" mode or as the Canadians say "Nuke and Puke" mode.
Recently on July 30 and yesterday August 2 we had afternoon Nuke and Puke at many sites while other sites to the east had good days.
So what causes the wind to sometimes be so up and down at one site that people leave wind to drive an hour for quality wind?
The answer is complex but often the issue is big surf or perhaps I should say high surf....very high surf.
This blog has lots of imagery and animations that tell the story:
http://blog.weatherflow.com/private-blog-gorge-winds-yesterday/
The other part of the Nuke and Puke equation is the depth of the marine layer but that story will have to wait.
Mike Godsey
iwindsurf.com/ikitesurf.com
Weatheflow.com
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Last edited by windfind on Wed Aug 03, 2016 8:04 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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isobars
Joined: 12 Dec 1999 Posts: 20935
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Posted: Wed Aug 03, 2016 6:35 pm Post subject: Re: Animated blog: Gorge waves & Nuke and Puke mode. |
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windfind wrote: | Recently on July 30 and yesterday August 2 we had afternoon Nuke and Puke at many sites while other sites to the east had good days. |
Regardless of the causes, July 30 and Aug 2 were in different worlds at Roosevelt/Arlington. 7/30 was smooth and steady (by Gorge standards) whereas 8/2 was probably the gustiest, choppiest, downright riskiest BS I've seen there at LEAST this year ... maybe in a few years. Even on the right sail and board, my only session yesterday was strictly survival sailing -- no maneuvering because of my and far better sailors' season-ending injury rates the last time we had such jackhammering conditions -- and thus was cut very short. Even the displaced corridor crew who relish harsh conditions didn't last long, quickly leaving after short trials. UP AND DOWN is fine, but feeling like a flea superglued to a jackhammer bit is something else entirely. I did not envy the tourists who felt compelled to stay out there because they were on Vacation By God and had no choice.
iW and some onsite meteorologists ascribed yesterday's three-sigma (my evaluation) gustiness to intermittent vertical mixing, misaligned upper layer flow, turbulence rolling off the higher terrain, and a front stirring things up even further. (I might suspect payback for the far better conditions on some other recent days.) The result was arms pumping as fast as our legs as the power in our hands (proportional to windspeed squared) doubled and halved dozens of times per minute most of the day and the chop complied. Yes, the swell was great now and then and here and there, but no way was I willing to play on it in gusts so strong and frequent; I LIKE having my shoulders attached to my body.
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windfind
Joined: 18 Mar 1997 Posts: 1901
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Posted: Wed Aug 03, 2016 7:59 pm Post subject: |
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Hi Isobars,
Yes, yesterday had much wider spread turbulence out east than July 30. July 30 the wave vertical mixing zone was mostly in the Swell to Dougs zone. While yesterday the turbulent wave zone extended past Arlington.
However the cause of the up and down factor was much the same except that the turbulence and wave induced vertical mixing greater and it was at a greater angle to the pressure gradient wind than July 30. This makes for especially crazy gusts since you are sometimes dealing with sudden wind shifts & blasts.
The IW forecasters continue to improve in giving the range of sites where the effect will be strongest. But being able to forecast the exact range and time of these turbulent winds is unlikely.
Side note about turbulence:
In the real world (i.e. not windsurfing/kiting) I forecast wind for a number of high tech. companies with my favorite clients being the Google X secret labs and their projects like Project Loon and the totally crazy Google Moscone Center Blimp project. (these projects are now public so I am not violating my NDA.)
What I dread the most about doing these Google X forecasts is the rare days where there turbulent waves like yesterday aloft.
The wild video below was shot live on one of those turbulent days with wind waves aloft within a few miles of San Francisco Moscone center. In the video you can see sky divers jumping from a blimp with Google Glasses which are delivered live on stage with Sergey Brin in front of thousands of developers.
What you cannot see are my bullets of sweat as I did real time minute-to-minute forecasting for winds and timing of the jump.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D7TB8b2t3QE
Mike Godsey
iwindsurf.com/ikitesurf.com
Weatheflow.com
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merriam2
Joined: 25 Oct 2013 Posts: 33
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Posted: Wed Aug 03, 2016 11:37 pm Post subject: |
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Thanks Mike Godsey for your always interesting analysis and on site reports. Also had to laugh at iso's description of a "flea glued to a jackhammer" I think a lot of this is just luck. Sailed Saturday 7/30 at Three Mile in wonderfully consistent wind and swell, heard others weren't so lucky. Yesterday sailed Rufus 3-5:00 in pretty good conditions. Sometimes you win, sometime you lose.
Tom
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tm00
Joined: 21 Jul 2000 Posts: 250 Location: Lake Champlain - NY
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Posted: Thu Aug 04, 2016 6:27 am Post subject: |
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Mike
For the past year Lake Champlain (NY side) has also seen the wind acting different. Lots of big gust follow by real long lulls. Saw the same in Hatteras this spring. Joke was to take book along when you headed out sailing. Could read a chapter of two in the lulls.
Tom
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isobars
Joined: 12 Dec 1999 Posts: 20935
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Posted: Thu Aug 04, 2016 12:31 pm Post subject: |
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merriam2 wrote: | Thanks Mike Godsey for your always interesting analysis and on site reports. Also had to laugh at iso's description of a "flea glued to a jackhammer" I think a lot of this is just luck. Sailed Saturday 7/30 at Three Mile in wonderfully consistent wind and swell, heard others weren't so lucky. Yesterday sailed Rufus 3-5:00 in pretty good conditions. Sometimes you win, sometime you lose.
Tom |
Yup ... and that applies even to 20-minute and 20-acre windows as the wind and swell shift.
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windfind
Joined: 18 Mar 1997 Posts: 1901
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Posted: Thu Aug 04, 2016 12:36 pm Post subject: |
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Hi Gang,
One thing in the blog that I mentioned but should have emphasized more...
The crazy gusts, lulls and shifts induced by the sporadic transfer of momentum by the strong wind waves aloft are NOT fixed at certain sites. Rather, as you can see in the satellite animation, the waves slowly march eastward. And if you were at a site at the right time you were in-between wind waves and had a period of decent wind.
For example: if you were at The Wall in the early morning you had a strong 3.2-3.7 session. But if you were there in the mid day to mid afternoon you had a wind wave nearby and the wind was often Nuke and Puke.
I would guess that there were also times at Roos and Arlington when there were decent winds. And in theory 3 mile should have had longer spells with decent winds in-between wind waves.
Mike Godsey
iwindsurf.com/ikitesurf.com
Weatheflow.com
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isobars
Joined: 12 Dec 1999 Posts: 20935
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Posted: Thu Aug 04, 2016 1:01 pm Post subject: |
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I've seen crisp, evenly spaced lenticular clouds in the lee of mountain ranges herald a sustained sine wave wind pattern of 20 minutes sailable, 20 minutes not sailable all afternoon. Although I've long wanted a tee shirt that reads "Clouds Don't Mean $#!+" (for the folks who worry about every little clump of water vapor), sometimes they DO.
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