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the season just around the corner....
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zirtaeb



Joined: 03 Jul 2009
Posts: 2363

PostPosted: Sun Feb 17, 2013 12:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Best call is the drive out to Bodega.
Maybe Tomales, which blows later, if it's an ebb or a slack.
S Bay MAY, or may not blow later PM.
Berkelely should TRY to blow early, but die by 4.
Larkspur/Rod might blow by mid afternoon, but shaky up and down, unless things go solid NW wise.
Alameda might blow even if Berkelely is calm.
Typical early spring or NW coastal wind.
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kevinkan



Joined: 07 Jun 2001
Posts: 1141
Location: San Francisco

PostPosted: Sun Feb 17, 2013 1:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bodega Buoy blowing NW 26 w/ gusts to 31... could setup for the afternoon. tide is rising and will be 2ft+ after 2pm
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sailtildark



Joined: 22 Mar 2012
Posts: 19

PostPosted: Sun Feb 17, 2013 5:49 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Agree with Kevin. It's 2:40 now and the buoy is down to 15 knots, but if the pressure tendency starts to go negative (e.g. -0.04 or better), there is a good chance of sailable wind by late afternoon. I call this the "workingman's sesh" later in the summer. It happened yesterday enough for kiting, but to sail would need a 6.5 or bigger and a floaty board. There is water starting now until dark. Look at yesterday's pattern for an example. Keep an eye on the marine lab sensor as well; you have to go to the BOON website.
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nw30



Joined: 21 Dec 2008
Posts: 1614
Location: The eye of the universe, Cen. Cal. coast

PostPosted: Sun Feb 17, 2013 8:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I see an early start this year, A.L. was good today, 5.2 mid afternoon with waist to shoulder high waves, and the seals were behaving.
This week should be good from Wed. to maybe Sat., with a bigger swell, and good wind, but don't tell anyone.

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zirtaeb



Joined: 03 Jul 2009
Posts: 2363

PostPosted: Sun Feb 17, 2013 10:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

As usual, I was wrong.
The coast didn't seem to do anything.
I sailed Berkelely on a 7.0 and 72cm old course slalom, planing half the time in breeze of 5-18 or so, came in at 4:30. Went out around 2:30.
Hopefully manana...
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windward1



Joined: 18 Jun 2000
Posts: 658

PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 12:01 am    Post subject: Seals Misbehaving Reply with quote

Hi nw30

You wrote: "the seals were behaving."

What are they like at Arroyo Laguna when they are misbehaving?

Sounds and looks like a fun place to sail. Thought I should know about the seals prior to attempting the place.

Windward1
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nw30



Joined: 21 Dec 2008
Posts: 1614
Location: The eye of the universe, Cen. Cal. coast

PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 11:16 am    Post subject: Re: Seals Misbehaving Reply with quote

windward1 wrote:
Hi nw30

You wrote: "the seals were behaving."

What are they like at Arroyo Laguna when they are misbehaving?

Sounds and looks like a fun place to sail. Thought I should know about the seals prior to attempting the place.

Windward1

Elephant seals, currently on the beach there are about 100, mostly females and their pups, they always behave, you can walk right by them. It's the big one ton plus males that you have to keep your eye on, they fight each other and don't care who, or what, gets in their way.
Right now the mature bulls have their harems established so the fighting has calmed down, only the occasional bachelor getting too close to a harem will cause a ruckus. They will all start leaving in another month.


But once you get out in the water past them, you do have this feeling that you have entered a food chain.

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windward1



Joined: 18 Jun 2000
Posts: 658

PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 11:53 am    Post subject: Elephant Seals Reply with quote

nw30, Thanks for the information.

Sounds like: walk gently by the moms and pups. Keep your periphreal vision peeled for the big bulls. When on the water, try not to look like a pup.
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kevinkan



Joined: 07 Jun 2001
Posts: 1141
Location: San Francisco

PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 4:31 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hey Domond,

Do you know under which conditions NW wind will be good at Berkeley and when it will be the inevitable 2-3pm die off?

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zirtaeb



Joined: 03 Jul 2009
Posts: 2363

PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 8:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Well, you know, I spout off tons on every subject, backed by little more than hot air.....
Seems Berk was fine at noon, Bernard smoking along then, and slowly rose to a peak around 3 of gust of 28, then a shutdown with holey bursts of wind, which the sensor doesn't show, since at Berkeley, once the sensor starts to turn, it almost selfgenerated and self sustaining, unable to read a dropping trend.
Normal WSW direction, lots of sailors out in the water in very changing conditions and 48 temps. Anything between a 4.7 and a 10 seemed to work.
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