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RickCronk
Joined: 08 Jul 2004
Posts: 136
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 Posted: Sat Mar 17, 2012 6:13 pm Post subject: iW forecasts? |
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With the big melt off happening now at a snow slope near you, does anyone have an idea when iW will return to offering "human forecasts" here in the NE?  |
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peterkimball
Joined: 09 Aug 1989
Posts: 299
Location: cape cod
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| Posted: Sun Mar 18, 2012 8:13 am Post subject: |
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seems to me that the computers have been better lately
Also harder to be mad at them if they are wrong
Like so many other tasks humans are replace with machines unless they add significant value to the process.
My opionion is that most experianced watermen could make a better guess at the local conditions with all of the weather data available today than any metorologist (but that is just my opinion) |
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evans
Joined: 10 Apr 2000
Posts: 1193
Location: The Dude abides!!!!!
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johnson_brian_j
Joined: 09 Jul 2007
Posts: 156
Location: Hudson River, NY
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| Posted: Mon Mar 19, 2012 5:48 am Post subject: |
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I agree, but you have to know which model to look at. In our area, the default model is the Weatherflow proprietary model, WRAMS, which isn't very good. You have to know, and know how, to look at the NAM and GFS model outputs.
| evans wrote: | | The meteograms are so good now I never even look at the human forecasts when they are available. But I like to just look at colors and numbers and not much for reading so that is just me. |
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bates
Joined: 25 May 2004
Posts: 280
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| Posted: Mon Mar 19, 2012 7:20 am Post subject: |
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| I pay, they are worth it for our area in my opinion. Also noaa.gov says it will be over 20 mph, it usually is. |
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bmmiller
Joined: 23 May 2007
Posts: 53
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| Posted: Tue Mar 20, 2012 10:56 am Post subject: East Coast Meteorologist Forecasts starting soon. |
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| Guys, we're starting the meteorologist forecasts for the East Coast this Friday, March 23rd at 7PM. |
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bred2shred
Joined: 02 May 2000
Posts: 574
Location: Jersey Shore
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| Posted: Tue Mar 20, 2012 11:25 am Post subject: |
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Wooohoo!
sm |
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RickCronk
Joined: 08 Jul 2004
Posts: 136
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| Posted: Tue Mar 20, 2012 11:48 am Post subject: Re: East Coast Meteorologist Forecasts starting soon. |
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| bmmiller wrote: | | Guys, we're starting the meteorologist forecasts for the East Coast this Friday, March 23rd at 7PM. |
Thanks. |
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isobars
Joined: 12 Dec 1999
Posts: 11471
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| Posted: Tue Mar 20, 2012 12:20 pm Post subject: |
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| johnson_brian_j wrote: | | I agree, but you have to know which model to look at. In our area, the default model is the Weatherflow proprietary model, WRAMS, which isn't very good. You have to know, and know how, to look at the NAM and GFS model outputs. |
I find the WRAMS model to be very useful in my area, as long as I ignore its long-standing late afternoon mathematical instability and add 10 mph to the whole curve. I still look at every forecast I can find. Even though most of them are based on the same data and often the same model, each source adds a bit of useful information on direction, timing, gustiness, plunging air temps, etc. Some days at some locations are just too damned gusty to make it worth the effort, or at least force a change of venues. "The Gorge" has over 70 launch sites providing access to dozens of very different local wind patterns, and nuances count. |
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scargo
Joined: 19 May 2007
Posts: 235
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| Posted: Tue Mar 20, 2012 4:22 pm Post subject: |
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| Nice, can't wait for Friday. For the jersey folks, looks like we're in for a rare E treat on Saturday, followed by stronger NE winds on Sunday. And Barnegat Bay temperatures are already cresting 50. [/quote] |
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