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Extended forcast for the gorge July 6th thuogh the 13th
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2bluehawaiins



Joined: 07 Mar 2002
Posts: 171

PostPosted: Fri Jul 03, 2009 11:04 pm    Post subject: Extended forcast for the gorge July 6th thuogh the 13th Reply with quote

Just thought I'd see if anyone up in the gorge would have any input on what might happen /or guess with the weather next week? I have looked at intellacast weather /weather underground an Iwindsurfs forecast.
It looks to be cooling down to mid 70's with a chance of showers. The only concern I have is the cloud cover might be to wide spread to go out east to the wall or Arlington ? I'm just looking for what other might guess> Thanks Cool
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scottwerden



Joined: 11 Jul 1999
Posts: 216

PostPosted: Sat Jul 04, 2009 12:08 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I have no idea about Arlington but the NWS says there will be a marine push for much of next week. But it might be too vigorous, with precip on the west side of the Cascades, which will generate wind all right, but with gusty conditions and potential thunderstorms. I for one will be happy with anything other than 100+ degree stillness.
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isobars



Joined: 12 Dec 1999
Posts: 14339

PostPosted: Sat Jul 04, 2009 9:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

My crystal ball says there's not much 6.0 or better wind in the Gorge past Tuesday, and concurs with iW until then other than being slightly more optimistic for winds late Sunday evening. Cooler is good; it usually means usable wind.

But then my crystal ball lies a lot.

Mike \m/
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surfer_joe



Joined: 24 Jun 2009
Posts: 6

PostPosted: Sat Jul 04, 2009 10:03 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Wind all next week, it does looks good.
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isobars



Joined: 12 Dec 1999
Posts: 14339

PostPosted: Sat Jul 04, 2009 10:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Based on what Gorge forecast? Educate me.

Mike \m/
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2bluehawaiins



Joined: 07 Mar 2002
Posts: 171

PostPosted: Sat Jul 04, 2009 1:15 pm    Post subject: Extended forecast for july 6th though the 13th or so Reply with quote

surfer_joe wrote:
Wind all next week, it does looks good.


I know this scenario of shower in July isn't usual for the gorge but thought some local input might help? Low to mid 70's next week is a lot better than them calling for mid to high 90's. Thanks



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scottwerden



Joined: 11 Jul 1999
Posts: 216

PostPosted: Sat Jul 04, 2009 7:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

isobars wrote:
Based on what Gorge forecast? Educate me.

Mike \m/


NWS long range forecast is here:
http://www.atmos.washington.edu/data/disc_report.html

It is calling for clouds on the west side, and a series of short-waves rolling over WA state. This generally means wind for the gorge.
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isobars



Joined: 12 Dec 1999
Posts: 14339

PostPosted: Sat Jul 04, 2009 9:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

scottwerden wrote:
It is calling for clouds on the west side, and a series of short-waves rolling over WA state. This generally means wind for the gorge.


Yeah, but "wind all next week" ... with both sides of the Cascades in the 70-80 degree range and no isobars beyond midweek? What's Joe basing that on?

Mike \m/
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surfer_joe



Joined: 24 Jun 2009
Posts: 6

PostPosted: Sat Jul 04, 2009 11:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

isobars wrote:
scottwerden wrote:
It is calling for clouds on the west side, and a series of short-waves rolling over WA state. This generally means wind for the gorge.


Yeah, but "wind all next week" ... with both sides of the Cascades in the 70-80 degree range and no isobars beyond midweek? What's Joe basing that on?

Mike \m/


Isobar - because it is the gorge and it is a good setup. you think cause there is no wind out east or on the hatch cam that there is no wind in the gorge but that is not true. there was wind all last week, 5.0 and better at Jones and or Kalama every day. Sorry you missed it. oh, and before you put up a jones week long graph up note the sensor is way low, if you are in the know.
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isobars



Joined: 12 Dec 1999
Posts: 14339

PostPosted: Sun Jul 05, 2009 10:02 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

surfer_joe wrote:
1. you think cause there is no wind out east or on the hatch cam that there is no wind in the gorge ...
2. the sensor is way low


1. Ouch! You have no idea how deeply that cuts, considering the frigging time I spend each day researching forecasts from many sources if necessary, sometimes including talking to NOAA meteorologists and corresponding with the people who design the math models. Given the challenges of forecasting wind mere hours from now, I surely donít tell people trying to plan vacations that ďit will be windy all week.Ē I hear God shreds, but Iíll bet even She doesnít rig until She sees the sheep on the river.

2. Which sensor ... Jones? Kalmus? The Hatch? (I finally figured out the latter, thanks to feedback here. We should all be encouraging iW to remedy that and any other significant sensor problems, since that's what we pay them for more than anything else.)

Mike \m/
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